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All Progress is the Result of Change

A wise person once said "all progress is the result of change". That saying holds true in my life and in my business, as I am pleased to announce my affiliation with Keller Williams Realty.

I spent 4 and a half wonderful years at RE/MAX, and I am very grateful to everyone there for all the support they've given me. I truly would not be where I am today if it weren't for the terrific people who've helped me. This was a difficult decision, but as I examined the best options that would help me take my business to the next level, it became clear that joining Keller Williams was the right choice for me at this time.

As always, I am committed more than ever to serving my clients, and I am grateful to all of you for your support of Team Carroll. I look forward to continuing to serve you.

Warm Regards,

Sean Carroll

 

Cranford NJ Real Estate Market Report

In our last look at Cranford NJ Real Estate at the end of March, I predicted that the 2nd Quarter Sales to "exceed" the 1st quarter sales. Seasonally, this is almost always the case, but with the first time home buyer tax credit in place through April 30, combined with historically low interest rates, and favorable pricing I expected an even greater surge in market activity.

As we complete the 2nd month of the quarter, it is quite apparent that the 2nd Quarter of 2010 will show a sizable spike in sales activity. In the entire 1st quarter, there were 29 closed sales in Cranford. So far in the 2nd quarter, there were 10 closed sales in April, 9 closed sales in May, and currently 43 listings under contract. This is a staggering number, as most of these properties will likely close before June 30, to comply with the tax credit requirements, thus more than doubling the number of transactions over the first quarter, and increasing 24 percent when compared to the same time period 1 year ago.

To illustrate with actual numbers

 

6 Months Ending April 2009

Closed Sales: 54

Avg Sales Price: $420,203

Avg Days on Market: 75

Month's Supply: 7 months of inventory. This means that if no new homes came on the market, it would take about 7 months for all homes to be sold at the pace of contract signings during that time.

6 Months Ending April 2010

Closed Sales: 79

Avg Sales Price: $406,689

Avg Days on Market: 73

Month's Supply:  Approximately 4.8 months of inventory

Most Real Estate economists consider a 6 month supply to be a balanced market, with anything less than 6 considered a seller's market. You guessed it. That's why we had SO many multiple offer scenarios in Cranford and so many contracts quickly on some of these properties.

***SNEAK PEEK AT MAY*** - The pace of sales has slowed slightly, and at the pace of May contract signings, the inventory has gone to about a 6 month supply, assuming a few more go under contract before end of the month.

How does this affect you if you are a homeowner in Cranford, or looking to buy a home?

The trend right now is that the pace of sales is slowing, but not stopping. We are no longer in a hot seller's market as we were in March and April, but we are by no means in a buyer's market either. Because rates are so low, and prices remain favorable, there is a healthy amount of sales traffic, keeping the inventory fairly steady. If you are selling, you can still sell quickly, and for a price close to asking, but you may get 1 offer instead of 3 if you price your home correctly. If you overprice by more than a few percent, you will still have difficulty selling, because there are enough competing properties for sale in most price ranges.

If you are a buyer, you should still make an offer quickly if the home is priced right, but chances are the should be at least a little less competition for each property.

I expect June to still be a solid month for Cranford home sales, but as we enter the summer, the seasonal trends should hold, and transactions should decrease until September, when they will likely increase again. In terms of whether the prices will go up or down, it all depends on how many new listings come online, and how that affects the supply/demand curve. If we tick up to 7-8 months of supply, prices will dip again. If we remain at 5-6 months supply, prices should hold steady, or rise very slowly.

For more information about the market conditions in YOUR neighborhood, check out www.UnionCountyRealEstateMarket.com

 

Cranford NJ Real Estate Sales Report Q1 2010

As we enter the 2nd quarter of 2010, its time to look back at the 1st quarter sales in Cranford, NJ for the sales numbers, and to see which way the market is trending as we go into the seasonal peak selling season of real estate.

1st Quarter 2010

Closed Sales: 29

Avg Sales Price: 387,648

Avg Days on Market: 85

Avg Sale Price/List Price: 96.7%

Current Pending Sales: 28

Month's Supply: 4.7 months of inventory. This means that if no new homes came on the market, it would take about 4.7 months for all homes to be sold at the current pace of contract signings.

Most Real Estate economists consider a 6 month supply to be a balanced market, with anything less than 6 considered a seller's market. You guessed it. That's why we had SO many multiple offer scenarios in Cranford. Right at this moment, there are more buyers than sellers. This could change in the coming months, but the 1st quarter of 2010 proved to be a good time to sell your home if you priced it reasonably.

What does this mean? Essentially, the first quarter substantially outperformed last year's first quarter, as there were only 11 closed sales in Q1 2009, as we were at what most would argue the most challenging point of the recession.

With the first time homebuyer tax credit set to expire April 30, I expect that the Q2 numbers will exceed the Q1 numbers, and I also expect a slight increase in prices.

 

Cranford NJ 2009 Foreclosure Statistics

Cranford NJ Foreclosure Report for 2009

Here are the statistics according to Realty Trac for Cranford NJ Foreclosures in 2009.

For these statistics, a 'foreclosure' is counted by Realty Trac any time a  homeowner receives any type of public notice, such as a Lis Pendens, a Notice of Default (NOD), or an actual auction or foreclosure sale notice.

In 2009, there were a total of 55 foreclosures in Cranford NJ. This accounts for approximately 1 foreclosure for every 158 housing units, or about .6% of homes.

This many not sound like a lot, and statistically its not, but if we track the trend, it was definitely going up towards the end of 2009. In the beginning of 2009, there were only 2 or 3 foreclosures being recorded each month. In December alone, there were 13. This causes statistics to be slightly misleading, as while there may have been a 100% or 200% increase in the number of foreclosures, when the numbers are this small, the percentages can be skewed very easily.

Let's compare Cranford to the rest of the State of New Jersey, Union County, and the US as a whole, here are the numbers for just December 2009:

Cranford: 1 out of every 671 Homes received foreclosure notice in December

Union County: 1 out of every 235

State of NJ: 1 out of every 345

United States: 1 ouf of ever 365

When examining these statistics, Cranford, while showing an increase in 2009, has still had FAR less foreclosures per capita than the nation, state, and county in December, even with the spike to 13 filings.

I expect this number in Cranford to rise a bit more through 2010, as the unemployment rate has caused a "Second Wave" of foreclosures and defaults, caused by lost wages. The "first wave" was caused mostly by sub prime and adjusting mortgages, which Cranford had less of than many more speculative areas of the country.

 

Cranford NJ Real Estate Market 2009 vs 2008

In this report, we’ve included the comparison of the 2008 market statistics to the 2009 market statistics. Analysis coming soon, but here are the raw numbers:

 

2008

Closed Sales: 193

Average Sales Price: $441,793

Average Days on Market: 69

Sale Price to List Price Ratio: 96 percent

 

2009

Closed Sales: 199

Average Sales Price: $426,905

Average Days on Market: 67

Sale Price to List Price Ratio: 96 percent

Quick Summary: activity ended up nearly the same, despite a VERY slow start to the year. Prices averaged down about 5% for the year, because there were 500 MORE listings in 2009 than 2008, which created more supply than demand.

There will be a follow up post this week with full analysis for you!

Thanks for reading.

Cranford NJ Real Estate - Foreclosure Statistics Q3 2009

While the housing market has certainly showed signs of recovery in our area, the fact remains that with unemployment at a 25 year high, many homeowners in our area are struggling to afford their monthly mortgage payment due to either job loss, income cuts,  mortgage payment increases due to interest rate “resets”, or some other type of life hardship such as a family illness, which happen in any economy.

 

Although many local towns like Cranford have not experienced nearly the amount of foreclosures and “distressed” property sales as areas such as Las Vegas, South Florida, or California, the financial crisis has still had an effect on the local distressed property numbers.

 

Distressed properties include those homes that have already been foreclosed on by the banks, homes that are in the process of foreclosure, homes that are on the market for sale, but are worth less than their mortgage balance (short sales), or homes where the homeowner is already in default (30 days or more late on the mortgage) or will soon be in default (current now, but likely won’t be for long)

 

Some of these numbers are harder to track, as the unfortunate reality is that as many as 7 out of 10 homeowners that go into foreclosure have done so with no visible signs of intervention, such as listing the property for sale, or attempting to contact their mortgage lender. For this reason, these properties do not show up in the distressed property numbers until the lender has filed a public notice of default, or a public notice of foreclosure sale, or in some cases, until the home is sold at auction.

 

According to RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings in Cranford totaled 15 in the third quarter of this year, which is up from 6 in the first quarter. While this may not seem like a lot, it is an increase of 2 and a half times. Looking at the start of Q4, there were already 8 foreclosure notices filed in the month of October, which may lead to an even higher 4th quarter number. The troubling fact about this statistic is that these are just the public notices that have been filed, and do NOT include homeowners who may be as much as 90-120 days in default on the mortgage, but have not received a public notice yet.

 

The positive part of this story is that Cranford, like its neighbors Westfield and Scotch Plains, still has an extremely low percentage of foreclosures compared to the NJ averages, and even the Union County averages. 

 

Nationwide, it is estimated that at least 10% of all mortgages are in default, so it is a fair assumption that there are still dozens of homeowners in Cranford who may not appear in these statistics, but who are still struggling to pay their mortgage every month and don’t know what to do about it. As the economy and housing market stabilize, much like unemployment, the foreclosures and defaults may still continue to rise, even as the housing market improves with increased transactions.

 

It’s important for local area homeowners who are having difficulty paying their mortgages that there are other options besides foreclosure. In fact, foreclosure should be the last resort, as it is one of the most emotionally and financially devastating consequence, and it CAN be avoided. Many homeowners are not even aware that there are numerous ways which can help them avoid foreclosure, and in many cases help them keep their home. Some of these options include mortgage modification, forebearance, reinstatement, refinance, short sale, deed in lieu of foreclosure.

 

While some of these may be viable options for distressed homeowners, it is critical for these individuals to receive good legal, real estate, and tax advice from qualified professionals in the area before making any decisions. In most cases, a licensed Real Estate Agent with experience in distressed properties is an excellent first resource for not only information about possibly selling the property, but also as someone who has a trusted network of attorneys, CPA’s, and lenders in their database ready to give the homeowner the advice that they need. Realtors who have earned the CDPE designation as Certified Distressed Property Experts, have some of the best training and experience on this subject, and more information about the CDPE designation can be found by clicking here.

 

In future articles, we will be publishing more information on the different options for homeowners in need of this type of assistance. For a detailed explanation, or to download free reports on this subject, homeowners in Scotch Plains can logon to http://www.HomeOwnerHelpSite.com

Cranford NJ Real Estate Market 3rd Quarter Report

Cranford NJ Real Estate Market Report – October 27, 2009

 

In this report, we’ve included the comparison of 3rd quarter 2008 to 3rd quarter 2009 to see how Cranford’s market is performing relative to a year ago.

 

Here are the raw numbers:

 

3rd Quarter 2009

 

Closed Sales: 74

Average Sales Price: $433,925

Average Days on Market: 67

Sale Price to List Price Ratio: 96 percent

 

3rd Quarter 2008

 

Closed Sales: 60

Average Sales Price: $444,211

Average Days on Market: 70

Sale Price to List Price Ratio: 96.7 percent

 

So what does this mean for homeowners and people considering a home purchase in Cranford? Well, quite simply it looks like the market is considerably more active in Q3 2009 than one year ago. The number of transactions increased by 23 percent, and the average sales price remained relatively stable, with a decline of only 2.4 percent. This shows signs of a very healthy real estate sales market, as with increased sales and decreased inventory, it has kept prices from further declining.

 

This increase in number of transactions can be likely attributed to the first time homebuyer $8000 tax credit that is set to expire on November 30, 2009. Many first time homebuyers decided to make a purchase this year due to this incentive. Also, mortgage financing became less restrictive than a year ago during the worst of the financial market challenges. Also, very low interest rates in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2009, helped improve affordability and purchasing power of buyers.

 

Congress is currently debating whether or not to extend/expand the first time homebuyer tax credit, and this decision will likely have a sizable affect on the residential real estate market. If they extend or expand the credit, sales are likely to remain strong. If the credit expires, it may cause a short term slowdown in sales activity until more job creation spurs more home purchases.

 

Sean Carroll is Team Leader of “Team Carroll” at RE/MAX Classic Group, and can be reached via phone at 908-376-1569, by email at Sean@TeamCarrollNJ.com,  or via the web at www.TeamCarrollNJ.com.

 

Cranford NJ Real Estate Mentioned in NY Times!!

Cranford NJ gets mentioned by name as one of the towns in New Jersey that is leading the real estate recovery. Check out the article below

New York Times Article

Have a great week!

 

Cranford NJ Real Estate and Homes Report

We are pleased to introduce our new homepage blogsite! Here, we will post frequent updates about what's going on in our local market, and also point you to links with additional information to help you.

Here is our latest market report

Enjoy the reading, and check back often for more updates!

Cranford NJ Real Estate Market Report - Month Ending January 2009

Hi Everyone,

As I expected I would find, the prices in Cranford took a big hit in the 4th quarter of 2008. I will share the detailed numbers in future blogs, but if you want a snapshot of the market, check out my full blog at:

http://activerain.com/blogsview/914788/Cranford-NJ-Homes-Sold-Report

Thanks for reading. Keep checking back for more news about Cranford NJ real estate and other towns as well!

Contact Information

Photo of Sean Carroll Real Estate
Sean Carroll
Keller Williams Realty
488 Springfield Avenue
Summit NJ 07901
Cell: 908-418-7152
Office: 908-273-2991
Fax: Fax: 908-967-5282

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